
OFFICIAL: Flávio Bolsonaro BEATS Lula in First Round Vote, Run-Off Set For October 25
BRASIL — (Article update): Flávio Bolsonaro finished first in Brazil’s October 4 presidential election, taking 47.03% of valid votes to President Lula’s 45.16% with nearly all ballots counted, short of the 50% needed to win outright.
The article traces how the count swung, from overseas ballots that favored Lula 53.1% to 37.2%, to a domestic lead of about 51% to 42% for Flávio at roughly 22% counted, to a much narrower final gap.


Brazil Set For October 25 Runoff — Flávio Bolsonaro BEATS Lula as Nation’s Right Sweeps Governorships & Senate
BRASÍLIA — Flávio Bolsonaro of the PL won the first round of Brazil’s presidential election with 47.03% of valid votes to President Lula’s 45.16%, a lead of about 1.9 points or 2.2 million votes. Neither man cleared the 59.65 million votes needed for an outright win, so they meet in a runoff on October 25.
The right also did well down the ballot: 20 states elected a governor in the first round and six states plus the Federal District head to runoffs, including Rio de Janeiro, where Douglas Ruas (PL) leads Eduardo Paes (PSD) pending a possible Electoral Court review.
The PL also won 19 of the 54 Senate seats up for election, the most any party has taken in one election since the 1988 Constitution, giving the right an expected majority of more than 45 seats in 2027.


“End Of the PT Era”: Flávio Bolsonaro & Lula Open Runoff Campaign, History is Against First Round Loser
SÃO PAULO — Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula opened the runoff campaign hours after the first round, which Flávio won 47.03% to 45.16%.
Flávio declared “the end of the PT era” and said he was “concerned with the future of Brazil,” while Lula admitted he had expected to win outright, called the runoff “the proof of nine,” and told Bolsonaro supporters to “get ready, because we are going to defeat you.”
The article notes that Brazil has seen no runoff comeback since redemocratization in 1989, since the first-round leader has won every runoff, but cautions that this year’s 1.9-point gap is the smallest on record and the roughly 8% of votes cast for other candidates could decide it.
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