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Sociedad Media Now: De La Espriella Wins Colombia’s First Round Vote, Latin America’s Right-Wing Shift & Ecuador’s Noboa Lifts Sanctions on Bogotá

Latin America’s most consequential political realignment in a generation accelerated this week: political outsider De La Espriella stuns pollsters as region witnesses right-wing shift while Ecuador’s Daniel Noboa drops all tariffs after De La Espriella victory

Sociedad Media Now: De La Espriella Wins Colombia’s First Round Vote, Latin America’s Right-Wing Shift & Ecuador’s Noboa Lifts Sanctions on Bogotá
Presidential candidate Abelardo De La Espriella after voting during the presidential election in Barranquilla, Colombia, Sunday, May 31, 2026. Credit: Fernando Vergara/AP. Edited by Sociedad Media

Here is your Monday Sociedad Media newsletter covering the latest developments in Colombia’s presidential election.

DEMOCRACY

Colombian presidential candidate & political outsider Abelardo De La Espriella pulls off stunning victory on Sunday evening over conservative Paloma Valencia & leftist Senator Iván Cepeda in presidential first-round runoff. De La Espriella in Barranquilla, Colombia on May 31, 2026. Credit: Charlie Cordero/Reuters

Colombia’s De la Espriella Wins First Round in Massive Upset — Runoff Set for June 21

BOGOTÁ — Right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella stunned Colombia and the region Sunday by winning the presidential first round with 43.7% of the vote — a result that defied nearly every poll heading into election day.

The lawyer and political newcomer from Barranquilla, who has drawn comparisons to Argentina’s Javier Milei and El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele, now faces leftist Senator Iván Cepeda in a June 21 runoff after outgoing President Gustavo Petro and Cepeda immediately rejected the preliminary results, claiming without evidence that hundreds of thousands of votes were manipulated by foreign actors.

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Democracy & Political Crisis

DEMOCRACY

Presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella, of the Defenders of the Homeland movement, addresses supporters from behind a bulletproof booth during a rally in Bogotá, Colombia, on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Credit: Fernando Vergara/AP

If De La Espriella Wins, Colombia Could Seal Latin America’s Right-Wing Revolution

LATIN AMERICA — A victory by Abelardo de la Espriella in Colombia’s June 21 runoff would mark the potential capstone of the most significant political realignment Latin America has seen in a generation — one that has already swept five countries from left to right in less than a year.

For the first time in over two decades, the three largest South American economies — Argentina, Brazil, and Colombia — would simultaneously fall under right-wing governance, driven by a regional electorate exhausted by crime, economic frustration, and the governance failures of the post-Pink Tide left.

With Brazil’s own presidential election set for October, the dominoes are still falling.

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Democracy & Political Crisis

SOUTH AMERICA

Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa in an interview with Reuters, in Quito, Ecuador December 15, 2023. Credit: Karen Toro/Reuters

Noboa Drops Colombia Tariffs After Meeting With De la Espriella — Petro Calls It Election Interference

Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa spent five months escalating tariffs on Colombian imports — from 30% to 50% to 100% — framing the measures as a “security tax” tied to Bogotá’s failure to combat drug trafficking and illegal mining along their shared border.

Then, less than 48 hours before Colombia’s presidential first round, Noboa got on a ten-minute video call with opposition candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and announced he was eliminating the tariffs entirely — bypassing the Petro government and triggering accusations of deliberate foreign interference in a sovereign election.

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