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Sociedad Media Now: Brazil’s Inflation Surprise & Fujimori’s First Security Pledge

Brazil’s surprise inflation slowdown hands Lula friendlier tailwinds ahead of October’s tight election as Peru’s Fujimori bets new AI surveillance & prison reform can finally make a military security model work

Sociedad Media Now: Brazil’s Inflation Surprise & Fujimori’s First Security Pledge
Central Bank of Brazil in Brasília, Federal District, Brazil. Credit: Arthur Menescal/Bloomberg

Our Thursday Sociedad Media Now daily newsletter on the region’s top stories in Everyday Life & Economy.

Everyday Life & Economy

BRAZIL

Gabriel Galípolo, president of the Central Bank of Brazil. Credit: Ton Molina/Bloomberg

Brazil’s Inflation Surprise Clears Way for Fourth Rate Cut, With an Election Just Months Away

Brazil’s inflation unexpectedly slowed to 4.52% in early July, beating every economist’s forecast and strengthening the case for a fourth consecutive interest rate cut at the central bank's August 4-5 meeting, likely bringing the Selic to 14%.

The timing carries real political weight: cooling inflation and a friendlier rate environment could ease pressure on household budgets just as Lula ramps up social spending ahead of Brazil's tightly contested October election against Flávio Bolsonaro, even as economists caution the trajectory beyond August remains far less certain.

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Everyday Life & Economy

SOUTH AMERICA

Peru’s President Keiko Fujimori speaks after taking oath of office during her inauguration ceremony at Congress in Lima, Peru on July 28, 2026. Credit: AFP

Fujimori’s First Security Pledge: The Same Military Model Her Predecessors Already Tried

LIMA, PERU — In her first address to Congress, Keiko Fujimori pledged that the Armed Forces will lead security operations during states of emergency — but it’s the same model Peru has run since 2023 under three prior governments, without reducing crime, per the country’s own Interior Ministry data showing 425,239 police complaints filed in just the first half of 2026.

Whether new AI surveillance and prison reforms she’s promised change that outcome, or whether critics’ fears of repeating her father's authoritarian excesses prove founded, is likely to define the first real test of her presidency.

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Everyday Life & Economy
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